Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Obama's new Afghan policy: more war, less development and reconstruction

U.S. troops under fire in the endless mountains of Kunar Province, Afghanistan

President Obama said in the campaign that he would shift U.S. attention to the war in Afghanistan and rethink American strategy there. It's clear he intends to do just that. But according to a New York Times story sourced to "senior administration officials," in a somewhat surprising move, Obama plans to take a "tougher line" toward Afghan President Hamid Karzai and "put more emphasis on waging war than on development."

Mr. Karzai is now seen as a potential impediment to American goals in Afghanistan, the officials said, because corruption has become rampant in his government, contributing to a flourishing drug trade and the resurgence of the Taliban.

All that development and "nation building" stuff will be left to NATO, most of which shows little interest in contributing more troops or engaging in combat:

They said that the Obama administration would work with provincial leaders as an alternative to the central government, and that it would leave economic development and nation-building increasingly to European allies, so that American forces could focus on the fight against insurgents.

“If we set ourselves the objective of creating some sort of Central Asian Valhalla over there, we will lose,” Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates, who served under Mr. Bush and is staying on under Mr. Obama, told Congress on Tuesday. He said there was not enough “time, patience or money” to pursue overly ambitious goals in Afghanistan, and he called the war there as “our greatest military challenge.”

The U.S. is shifting its strategic focus away from lofty goals for Afghanistan's future and protection for Karzai -- who has been called the "Mayor of Kabul" because he doesn't wield authority beyond the capital -- so the planned doubling of U.S troop levels by this summer can be used to battle the Taliban in the countryside and ratchet up the military pressure on al Qaeda in hiding across the Pakistani border.

As the "senior official" (I get the feeling it's Gates) put it:

"What we’re trying to do is to focus on the Al Qaeda problem. That has to be our first priority.”

Amen to that. What do you think? Post a comment.

Recommended further reading: This report by Stratfor, the private intelligence provider, sees U.S. policy evolving quickly along the lines suggested by the Times report.


  1. Yikes! That's not the Obama I voted for.

  2. Are they kidding?....Karzai is 'chop liver'?....all sorts of unintended consequence are in play here....a very difficult will only get worst....George Friedman and other believe in the 'moderate' can always make a deal....wishfull thinking...

  3. Now thats change I can believe in but I will have to see it to believe it.

  4. This from the man who said we were 'just air raiding and killing civilians'? I don't know about this, there are so many possible outcomes.